Natural gas prices jumped Thursday following a multiweek swoon, providing a lift to shares of Club holding Coterra Energy (CTRA), which lately has relied on the commodity for more than half its operating revenues. U.S. natural gas prices rose nearly 4% Thursday to roughly $3.81 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). Coterra shares climbed nearly 3% to over $25 apiece. Thursday’s natural gas gains — on top of a 0.88% jump on Wednesday — reverse some of its recent losses. But only partially. As recently as Dec. 15, U.S. natural gas prices settled at nearly $7 per million British thermal units. So far in 2023, natural gas remains down around 12%. Unusually warm winter weather across the U.S. and Europe is a major culprit for the falling prices. Demand for natural gas fell in response, with less of it is needed to heat homes. Proof is in the data. The amount of working gas in storage actually rose 11 billion cubic feet in the week ended Jan. 6, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said Thursday. That’s the first weekly inventory build in January on record, according to FactSet. Of course, the price of natural gas matters to consumers and their energy bills. It also matters greatly to investors in Houston-based Coterra, the product of a 2021 merger between Cabot Oil & Gas and Cimarex Energy. Coterra has the most natural gas exposure of the three exploration and production (E & P) firms in the Club portfolio, with the commodity accounting for nearly 58% of its operating revenue through the first three quarters of 2022; fourth-quarter results aren’t out yet. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), by contrast, has generated 11% of its operating revenue from natural gas over the same span. That figure is roughly 14% for Devon Energy (DVN). Oil and natural gas liquids are the other major products all three E & P companies sell. In a very basic sense, the higher the price of natural gas, the more money Coterra can make from its operations — which ultimately influences the company’s free cash flow and, by extension, its dividend payment. But the company’s realized price in a quarter can be different than the average market prices over that same timeframe. This is because companies like Coterra will enter into agreements to sell natural gas or oil at a predetermined price at a future date. Sometimes, that agreed-upon price will be higher than the market price on that day. Other times, it will be lower. This is what determines the difference between a company’s realized price and the spot price of the commodity in question. Coterra investors still pay attention to the swings in natural gas prices. The company’s sales are not fully hedged, so what happens to market prices does impact the amount of revenue it generates. In an interview with Jim Cramer earlier this week, Coterra CEO Tom Jorden sought to downplay worries about natural gas price declines. “Prices are constructive on both oil and gas, and our returns are really extraordinary at current…
Read More: We still like Coterra Energy despite the recent fall in nat gas