Where are bitcoin miners in 2023: Texas

Crypto winters don’t scare Kevin Zhang, who has been in the business of mining bitcoin for ten years. He’s lived through a few bear markets in the last decade, but no matter where he has set up shop — the U.S., Sweden, the Republic of Georgia, and China — he’s survived every one. In fact, it is precisely when things look most grim for the sector that Zhang typically doubles down.

In 2013, for example, China banned bitcoin for the first time. The world’s largest cryptocurrency immediately began to crash, and it was a slow bleed down in price for the next few years. As a wave of Western companies went bankrupt, Zhang decided to jump into mining.

“I saw an opportunity to leverage my Chinese language skills and cultural background to become one of the earliest and largest overseas customers of Chinese ASIC manufacturers,” said Zhang, who was born in America but spent his early childhood in Beijing and Shenzhen.

For the next four years, he sourced gear and institutional knowledge from China, ultimately scaling up a site in Montana to become the largest bitcoin mining facility in North America. Zhang has since brought that same cavalier attitude to Foundry, a mining firm tucked under Barry Silbert’s crypto empire.

In May 2020, bitcoin miners suffered two big blows: Much of the world shut down as Covid cases spiked and the most recent halving had just slashed the mining reward from 12.5 to 6.25 bitcoin per block mined. Zhang and the team at Foundry shrugged off the double whammy of blackswan events and spent hundreds of millions of dollars on its mining business, deploying tens of thousands of machines. By Nov. 2021, bitcoin hit an all-time peak of nearly $70,000.

But the stakes are higher this time around.

Bitcoin miners are barreling toward the “halving” — a major market-making event that some fear will be a death knell to many in the industry. It happens roughly every four years and refers to an inflation-curbing schedule baked into bitcoin’s code where the reward for mining a new block of transactions gets cut in half. Historically, it also coincides with the start of a bull run in the price of cryptocurrencies.

Whereas traders eagerly await the halving, hoping for a potential spike in bitcoin’s price, it represents a direct hit to revenues for miners, as they will receive 50% less bitcoin for every block they verify. In a capital-intensive industry with already tight margins, the reduced reward has the potential to prove apocalyptic for some operators.

“This is the ultimate test for miners,” said Zhang, Foundry’s senior vice president of business development. “Some may not make it through; some may. But I feel confident that if they work with us, and work with other strong actors, they may have a good chance to survive this.”

When the halving takes effect in Apr. 2024, the reward for miners will drop to 3.125 bitcoin, or around $83,000….